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Researchers Predict The End Date Of COVID-19 Pandemic
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| Researchers Predict The End Date Of COVID-19 Pandemic by Dharkson(m): Wed 13, May, 2020 08:57am |
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Scientists and researchers from the University of Technology and Design, Singapore has predicted that the covid19 pandemic which is currently affecting various countries in the world will end early next year.
Their prediction is that the world won't be free from the virus until the 5th of January 2021. However, some countries would be free before the scheduled date. The scientists makes use of data-based estimates to create models that displays the life cycle of corona viruses in certain countries. They then use the data to estimate an “end date†for the corona virus outbreak worldwide and in some countries. The Countries included in the analysis are the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, France, Spain, Germany, India and Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. Here are the theoretical “end dates†for the coronavirus outbreak in the following countries: United States: October 22, 2020. United Kingdom: September 30, 2020. Italy: October 23, 2020. France: August 25, 2020. Spain: August 15, 2020. Germany: August 20, 2020. India: October 19, 2020. Turkey: September 11, 2020. UAE: September 3, 2020 Saudi Arabia: September 10, 2020. Qatar: September 14, 2020. The Research uses the Susceptible-Infected Recovery model (SIR) which describes the spread of infectious diseases and data from coronavirus cases from May 7. The research paper, updated on May 11, emphasized that the forecasts are not certain and may change depending on certain factors such as government policies, test protocols, and human behavior. The research was coordinated by Jianxi Luo, a full professor at the Singapore University of Technology and Design.
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